Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 6.106418 6.884440 7.736222 8.740028 9.893245 11.179672 12.727579
2024-12-29 5.174796 6.244093 7.507775 9.119683 11.132916 13.579715 16.801862
2025-01-05 4.423434 5.612366 7.099815 9.114437 11.797845 15.285520 20.221223
2025-01-12 3.865232 5.104757 6.728137 9.036835 12.279358 16.736659 23.441743
2025-01-19 3.286449 4.481092 6.104039 8.504971 12.026209 17.095880 25.121783
2025-01-26 3.001570 4.216483 5.924652 8.547801 12.557377 18.593672 28.638340
2025-02-02 2.835416 4.095676 5.925711 8.837177 13.466813 20.743231 33.454915
2025-02-09 2.662051 3.942430 5.856392 9.000516 14.183795 22.660033 38.153838
2025-02-16 2.500686 3.788936 5.766604 9.113020 14.818277 24.502117 42.980170
2025-02-23 2.356285 3.646547 5.676999 9.209414 15.425782 26.357597 48.095317
2025-03-02 2.156235 3.397105 5.391214 8.943342 15.366521 27.012532 51.016868
2025-03-09 2.020703 3.240856 5.243263 8.896002 15.685238 28.384277 55.542494
2025-03-16 1.884605 3.076050 5.072245 8.800527 15.922834 29.667937 60.181800
2025-03-23 1.839064 3.061295 5.157279 9.177687 17.101434 32.950888 69.688969
2025-03-30 1.737284 2.940107 5.043728 9.171137 17.525449 34.759073 76.231432
2025-04-06 1.634699 2.809165 4.900967 9.092699 17.791831 36.266095 82.337980
2025-04-13 1.478841 2.570757 4.542437 8.557076 17.048510 35.487111 82.750561
2025-04-20 1.413049 2.492699 4.476744 8.600188 17.537941 37.512867 90.582717
2025-04-27 1.383003 2.478649 4.530696 8.891567 18.600442 40.997581 102.917546
2025-05-04 1.339529 2.435695 4.524710 9.056041 19.397261 43.967326 114.478887
2025-05-11 1.293192 2.383732 4.496467 9.169329 20.088613 46.777884 126.192256
2025-05-18 1.248212 2.331148 4.462600 9.266395 20.752327 49.614874 138.610604
2025-05-25 1.169816 2.206894 4.273168 8.998468 20.500436 50.036335 143.701392